by Scott Shiloh Arutz Sheva May 30, 2006
Hezbollah, an Islamic terrorist organization closely allied with Iran, long a security nuisance on the northern border, now poses a strategic threat to Israel.
Sundayâ€™s rocket strike at a military base near Tzefat was the deepest a rocket fired from southern Lebanon has ever penetrated Israel.
The attack, which Vice Prime Minister Shimon Peres termed â€œcoincidental,â€ may have been a deliberate effort by Hezbollah to showcase its new strategic weapons.
Those weapons, according to an article in Ha-aretz, are now able to strike virtually everywhere in Israel from the Galilee to the northern Negev.
With such range, a border skirmish with Hezbollah could potentially prompt an attack on Tel Aviv, or any location in Israelâ€™s densely populated, industrial heartland.
Though not highly accurate, Hezbollahâ€™s rockets, supplied by Iran, carry 600 kilograms of explosives capable of causing severe damage to any target. Since the rockets are propelled by solid fuel, they are easily mobile. That would make it difficult for Israel to remove the threat, in the event of a wider conflict.
Israel would almost certainly need to take Hezbollahâ€™s rocket threat into account, when considering the possibility of military engagement against Iran or Syria.
Dr. David Bukâ€™ai, a professor at Haifa University, said the potential for the Hezbollah to use the missiles effectively increases the need for the IDF to retaliate more harshly against minor Hezbollah provocations, in order to preserve the balance of deterrence.
Bukâ€™ai explained that up until Sundayâ€™s incident, the IDF responded to border skirmishes by aiming at empty facilities, minimizing damage and casualties, with the goal of precluding an escalation of the conflict.
In contrast, Sundayâ€™s response left Hezbollah with 15 dead and heavy damage to a number of military installations.
â€œThis needs to represent a new policy, one that will maintain deterrence vis-a-vis Hezbollah,â€ Bukâ€™ai said.