A poll carried out this Sunday and Monday by Maagar Mohot Survey Institute (headed by Professor Yitzchak Katz) finds that the Israeli public does not support additional significant unilateral withdrawals if after the elections it becomes clear that the PA doesn’t fight terror and it is not possible to advance in accordance with the Road Map (no peace partner). Among those intending to vote for Kadima, only 54% support additional significant unilateral withdrawals under those conditions.

The poll was commissioned by the Zionist Organization of America - ZOA.

The telephone poll of a representative sample of 624 adult Israelis (including Israeli Arabs) has a survey error of +/- 4.5 percentage points.

Among other key findings of the poll:

60% of respondents (68% of Kadima voters) believe that a vote for Kadima is a vote in favor of additional unilateral withdrawals if there is no peace partner.

25% of respondents would still support significant unilateral withdrawals even if Qassam rockets would fall in central Israel without an effective response - as they do today in Sderot.

34% of those surveyed have either not decided what party they will vote for (23%) or refuse to reply or give replies other than the names of parties running (11%). This represents over 40 Knesset seats.

Results follow:

57% of the respondents are 100% certain that they will vote

Vote for the Knesset in %’s [results in brackets for those 100% sure they will vote] 08% (08%) Likud 10% (11%) Labor 21% (27%) Kadima 00% (00%) Shinui 05% (06%) Shas 04% (03%) National Union 03% (03%) Meretz 02% (02%) NRP 04% (05%) Yisrael Beiteinu 03% (03%) Yahadut Hatorah 05% (02%) Arab Parties 00% (00%) Tafnit 01% (01%) Aleh Yarok (legalize hashish) 00% (00%) Herut 23% (19%) Undecided 11% (10%) Refuse reply and other replies

4. Are you for or against significant unilateral withdrawals from Judea and Samaria if after the elections it becomes clear that the PA doesn’t fight terror and it is not possible to advance in accordance with the Road Map” Total: For 35% Against 50% Other 15% Vote Kadima: For 54% Against 31% Other 15%

5. In your opinion, is a vote for the Kadima Party in the upcoming elections a vote for or against unilateral withdrawals from Judea and Samaria if after the elections if it becomes clear that the PA doesn’t fight terror and it is not possible to advance in accordance with the Road Map” [Results for Kadima voters in brackets] 60% [68%] A vote for unilateral withdrawals 09% [07%] A vote against unilateral withdrawals 04% [07%] A vote on other issues 27% [18%] Other replies

6. Are you for or against significant unilateral withdrawals from Judea and Samaria even if there is a reasonable chance that a threatening sovereign Palestinian state enjoying the support of the Arab world will be established in the evacuated area? Total: For 32% Against 56% Other 12% Vote Kadima: For 47% Against 44% Other 9%

7. Are you for or against significant unilateral withdrawals from Judea and Samaria even if Qassams will fall in the center of the country, without an effective response, as they are now falling in Sderot? Total: For 25% Against 64% Other 11% Vote Kadima: For 37% Against 57% Other 6%

8. In your opinion, will Israel’s security situation be worse or better in a year or two after the carrying out of significant withdrawals from Judea and Samaria? [Results for Kadima voters in brackets] 17% [03%] Much worse 17% [07%] Worse 14% [12%] So-so 21% [41%] Good 09% [15%] Much better 22% [22%] Other replies

9. Do you agree or disagree with the following argument: even if a threatening sovereign Palestinian state enjoying the support of the Arab world will be established in the evacuated areas, the IDF could always act to get quiet at a relatively low cost. [Results for Kadima voters in brackets] 09% [07%] Certainly don’t agree 30% [13%] Don’t agree 05% [02%] So-so 30% [44%] Agree 11% [25%] Certainly agree 15% [09%] Other replies

Dr. Aaron Lerner, Director IMRA (Independent Media Review & Analysis) (Mail POB 982 Kfar Sava) Tel 972-9-7604719/Fax 972-3-7255730 INTERNET ADDRESS: imra@netvision.net.il Website: http://www.imra.org.il

This entry was posted on Tuesday, February 7th, 2006 and is filed under news. You can leave a response.